The research blog for a forthcoming book by Alexis Madrigal

Wired.com staff writer
energy and science

Visiting Scholar UC-Berkeley,
Office for the History of Science and Technology

Inventing Green is due out Fall 2010 from Da Capo Books/The Perseus Books Group.

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1971 Forecast: Nuclear Will Provide 60% of the World’s Electricity by Late 90s

“Spinrad predicted that by the late 1990s almost 90% of new electrical generating capacity everywhere except in Africa will be nuclear, and that fission will supply over 60% of the world’s electricity generation.”

— Vaclav Smil in Energy at the Crossroads, referencing Spinrad’s report, “The role of nuclear power in meeting world energy needs” in Environmental Aspects of Nuclear Power Stations, published by the International Atomic Energy Agency

Nuclear power now supplies about 15% of the world’s electricity. Only two nuclear plants have been added to the U.S. grid since 1990. The last went online in 1996. (Note, though, that 30 new plants are in some part of the licensing process.)

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